by Sarah Dillingham
According to the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Depression 7 is no more as the Hurricane Hunters were unable to find a “persistent and well-defined center of circulation,” now categorizing TD-7 as an open tropical wave. No additional advisories will be issued on this disturbance for the time being, but it isn’t out of the question to have this wave regenerate over the next few days, giving the National Hurricane Center reason to continue monitoring it.
Movement of this system has continued to be rather rapid to the west at 25 mph, and the remnants of TD-7 will cross the Lesser Antilles later tonight before entering the Caribbean Sea over the next few days. Forecast models remain split slightly as a few models are attempting to redevelop this wave into a tropical storm over the next 48 hours, and others keep it below tropical storm status.
Last Thursday, August 9, the National Hurricane Center updated their 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast, and activity is forecast to be slightly higher than originally thought, despite a possible developing El Nino. There have already been 5 named storms during the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and the next named storm will be Gordon. There is another tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands that the NHC has given a 20% chance of development over the next 48 hours, and if the remnants of TD-7 do not redevelop, this new wave could become Gordon.